Chris Trotman/Getty; Kathy Willens/AP
"Pride goeth before the fall." --Ron Darling (or Keith Hernandez?), Sports New York (SNY), Sunday
The MFY made a charge at the Red Sox, but it turns out the collapse we should have been watching came from the other league.
- The Mets became first team in Major League history to blow seven-game lead with only 17 to play.
- The Mets' chances of making the postseason as of Sept. 12 was 99.8 percent. They had a 500-to-1 shot against of not making the playoffs.
- According to the link in the above-bullet point, this was the second worst collapse in baseball history. Whenever those two words are used together -- baseball history -- I think we all make an implicit mental note that baseball history spans two World Wars and 18 presidents, which means there's at least more than an outside chance that we may have just witnessed something we will never, ever again see.
I have Mets-rooting friends, and I'm afraid to talk to them right now. What does one say? Do you say you know how they feel? Because, really, since this is unprecedented, we have no idea how they feel. Trying to comfort a Mets fan would almost make me feel guilty -- yes, my team lost 93 games, but at least they didn't make you feel like you just got gutted with a serrated kitchen knife.
Darling/Hernandez, SNY, bottom of 9th: "I'll tell ya, if they don't rally, this is a moment when you sit in front of your locker and the whole season passes in front of you , and it's almost -- I don't want to equate it to death -- but it just goes by so quickly and you remember all those little moments, things that might have been."
Hernandez/Darling: "Well, this is an experience I wouldn't wish on my worst enemy."
"We're the team to beat." --Jimmy Rollins, Feb. 20
"I got here earlier than the players. Couldn't sleep last night." --Chris Wheeler, Phillies color commentator who accompanies the great Harry Kalas, Sunday
I think that's about as wrong an interpretation of statistics and as egregious a war metaphor as you'll encounter anywhere.
Two weeks ago, over at Sports Illustrated’s web site, I noted the Colorado Rockies' 2.1% chances at making the postseason, per the Playoff Odds Report, and I wrote:In the NL West, the Rockies’ surge into contention was a little like a meteor shower– no sooner do you notice it’s happening than it’s over.
A strange thing happened almost immediately after those words went out to my editor. Colorado won, and won, and kept on winning...